Abstract For China's photovoltaic industry, “double-reverse†is not a new topic. Since the United States first proposed "double opposition" to China in 2011, three and a half years ago, the world has frequently launched difficulties on Chinese PV products. ...
For China's photovoltaic industry, "double opposition" is not a new topic. Since the United States first proposed "double opposition" to China in 2011, three and a half years ago, the world has frequently launched difficulties on Chinese PV products. Today, foreign “double-reverse†for Chinese PV products has formed a normal state. "The key to reducing trade friction is to accelerate the integration and restructuring of the industry and technological progress, and truly realize the transition from winning by scale to winning by technology. Only by having greater competitiveness can it be accepted by the international market." Director of Xiamen University Energy Economic Research Center Lin Boqiang said.
Recent European and American "double anti-" sanctions frequently
At the beginning of May, the European Photovoltaic Manufacturers Association, the initiator of the EU's "double-reverse" to China's photovoltaics, once again filed a complaint with the European Commission, accusing China's PV companies of rushing through third places such as Malaysia to sell their products to Europe to avoid tariffs.
As is known to all, in recent years, China-EU bilateral PV trade disputes have continued. In August 2013, the China-EU PV trade dispute case was settled with a price commitment, but the accusations of Chinese companies violating price commitments continued. In March, the European Commission proposed in a document issued that it would remove the three Chinese companies from the Central European Photovoltaic Modules Minimum Price Agreement (MIP) and consider the behavior of the three companies. Violation of the MIP agreement. On June 7, the European Commission announced that it would impose high tariffs on the three companies and withdraw them from the MIP agreement. If this plan is implemented, the three companies will be subject to an average tariff of 47%, and the cost of exporting to Europe will increase significantly.
In addition to Europe, Canada officially launched a “double-reverse†survey of PV modules and wafers in China at the end of last year. On June 3 this year, the Canadian Border Services Agency identified China's photovoltaic industry as a non-market economy industry, and made a final ruling on the “double-reverse†investigation of PV modules and wafers imported from China, and plans to disclose it within 15 days.
No need to over-interpret "double anti"
"The recent "double-reverse" investigation of domestic PV products by the EU and Canada is actually a continuation of anti-dumping measures in Europe and the United States." Lin Boqiang said.
The industry speculates that the original intention of the European Photovoltaic Manufacturers Association complaint is to provoke the EU to conduct anti-circumvention investigations on crystalline silicon photovoltaic modules and key components originating in China, and the deeper level of intention is to “reverse†The relevant materials obtained from the circumvention investigation were used as an excuse to urge the European Commission to make a decision to extend the price commitments between China and Europe that should have expired in December this year.
It is understood that before the expiration of the Central European price commitment, the European Commission will review the implementation, thereby determining whether the price commitment is extended or revoked. However, in the “anti-circumvention investigationâ€, if there is a violation of the price commitment and the evasion of tariffs, the implementation entity will be removed from the list of companies that have implemented the price commitment, and will be subject to heavy taxes.
For Canada's "double-reverse" investigation, IHS senior analyst Xie Feng said: "Canada and the EU have been standing in the same camp, intending to suppress China's photovoltaic industry. In fact, Canada itself also needs to vigorously develop solar power, its own The photovoltaic manufacturing capacity is very weak. Objectively, China's PV modules with high quality and low price are needed. The “double anti-" of China's PV products will lead to higher costs for the Canadian PV manufacturing industry. Ultimately, it also needs to pay for anti-dumping.
"In fact, there is no need to over-interpret the 'double-reverse'. Double-reverse is a market behavior, and for more and more end-markets, Chinese PV companies have more choices. Photovoltaic installed capacity has exceeded 40 GW, and China's new installed capacity has exceeded 10 GW. It has given many living space for domestic PV companies. At present, 'Double-Reverse' has a slightly greater impact on small enterprises, and large enterprises have been more comfortable. The pressure resistance is also growing," said Ding Wenlei, chairman of Hangyi Solar Technology Co., Ltd.
Technology upgrades get rid of price wars
“In the face of double-reverse, the direct response measures taken by enterprises may be different.†Xie Feng added, “For the EU’s “double-reverse†survey, the first quarter of this year’s component shipments ranked first. Sis chose to continue to appeal, while Zhonghui Optoelectronics, which ranked eighth, and Zhongsheng Optoelectronics, which did not enter the top ten, chose to withdraw from the MIP agreement and no longer ship to China from China."
The direct impact of 'double anti-' is that many small-scale production enterprises will directly give up their exports to Europe and the United States. Enterprises that are unwilling to give up these markets will inevitably face pressure from increasing costs in many aspects." Lin Boqiang pointed out that "domestic photovoltaics The further rise of the application market, and then get rid of the blind foreign market, will be the long-term development of the domestic photovoltaic industry."
"At present, the demand for photovoltaic products in China is increasing, providing a huge market for domestic production capacity. More enterprises will shift their focus to domestic sales, and the demand for photovoltaics in some emerging markets such as Southeast Asia and Japan is growing rapidly. To a certain extent, the 'double anti-' in Europe and the United States has been greatly discounted." Lin Boqiang added.
Many industry insiders have said that the reason why Europe and the United States have launched "double opposition" to China's photovoltaic products is because China's photovoltaic industry is still winning by scale and winning at low prices instead of winning by technology.
Faced with the current difficulties in Europe and the United States, there is a voice in the industry that it is a better choice to invest in overseas factories. In this regard, Ding Wenlei told this reporter: "Investing in overseas factories is a direction to go out, but this concept is relatively backward, the key is to accelerate the integration and restructuring, to achieve efficiency through technology upgrades, and ultimately achieve cost reduction. Goal, this is the greatest competitiveness."
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