The development of the world machine tool industry is closely related to the economic status of countries and the investment in fixed assets. If the economy is booming and investment in fixed assets is large, the demand for machine tools will increase, and the technical level will be high, and the machine tool industry will develop rapidly. On the contrary, development is slow. Correct analysis of the status quo and future development of the world machine tool industry is conducive to the correct, normal and accelerated development of the Chinese machine tool industry, and avoids errors such as blindness, superficiality and exaggeration.
First, the status quo of the world machine tool industry
The current status of the world machine tool industry can be explained by the following points:
(1) In 2009, the world's machine tool output value, consumption, and import and export volume dropped sharply, and the situation was severe.
The state of the world machine tool industry can be characterized by the value of machine tools and consumption in the world. Its increase and decrease often depends on the quality of the global economy and the increase or decrease of GDP.
In 2009, world GDP fell by 2.2%, and global trade volume fell by 13%, a record year. Due to the shortage of funds, the investment in fixed assets has tightened. In 2009, the world's machine tool industry's total output value, machine tool consumption, and import and export volume both fell sharply. This is the most serious year for the entire world's machine tool industry since the 21st century.
According to the total output value, consumption, and import and export volume of 28 countries (regions) produced by the Gardner Publishing Company of the United States, the growth of machine tool output in 2009 was only in China and Austria (China grew by 17.4). %, Austria increased by 2%), and the rest declined. Due to the adoption of correct and urgent measures, China has invested 4 trillion yuan in a package to increase investment in fixed assets for machine tools. Austria is a transit country for machine tools. The world's major production machine tool powers (regions), their machine tool output has dropped significantly. Germany fell by 33%, Japan by 54%, the United States by 41%, Italy by 33%, Switzerland by 47%, Taiwan by 50%, and South Korea by 39%.
In 2009, the world's machine tool consumption fell by 33%. China and Brazil have grown to zero due to measures. The rest of the countries (regions) have fallen sharply. Germany fell by 44%, the United States by 60%, Japan by 57%, Italy by 48%, South Korea by 32%, India by 41%, Switzerland by 45%, and Taiwan by 68%.
From an export perspective, worldwide machine tool exports fell by 38% in 2009, with Japan down 50%, Germany down 30%, the US down 36%, Italy down 29%, Switzerland down 45%, China down 34%, South Korea down 37%. In terms of imports, in 2009, the world's machine tool imports fell by 41%, including 24% in China, 54% in the US, 49% in Germany, 62% in Italy, 36% in Switzerland, and 40% in Japan.
(2) The world's machine tool market demand is reduced, funds are short, and the production, scientific research and innovation of machine tools are affected.
The production, innovation and technological development of machine tools, market demand is power, technology is the foundation, talent is the foundation, and capital is the means. Due to the occurrence of a serious economic crisis in the world, shortage of funds, and shrinking demand in the market, it will inevitably bring about certain "negative effects" on the production, scientific research and innovation of machine tools. This is an undeniable fact and an objective law of historical development.
According to the observation and analysis of the EMO exhibition (European International Machine Tool Exhibition), one of the world's four largest international machine tool exhibitions held in Milan, Italy from October 5 to 10, 2009, this world economic crisis, on machine tool technology, The development of innovation has a great negative impact. This is an indisputable fact. However, in order to open up the market, the company still adheres to continuous research and innovation.
The scale of the EMO exhibition in 2009, the number of business activities, the number of exhibitors, and the number of visitors have all shrunk in large numbers. The exhibits are innovative in many aspects such as processing technology, machine tool structure, control, software, wireless networking, environmental protection, tools, measurement, tool setting, lubrication system, air suction filtration technology, etc., mainly in improving the process and improving the processing of single machines. In terms of process, precision, efficiency, automation, intelligence, networking, and environmental protection, we have exhibited various robots in the last two EMO exhibitions, and further utilized robots to form processing units, to manufacture systems, factory automation, etc. Development is different. This is closely related to the current economic crisis, the shortage of funds, the careful calculation of users, and the demand for cheap and good products in the market.
Second, the future development of the world machine tool industry
(1) Development in the past five years (2010-2015)
The future development of the world machine tool industry in the next five years will depend on the recovery process of the world economic crisis.
The United Nations organization pointed out on January 20th: "The world economy is recovering moderately in 2010. World GDP fell by 2.2% in 2009 and is expected to increase by 2.4% in 2010. But if governments stop prematurely spending, the economy may once again Fall into recession.†The World Bank predicts: “World GDP will increase by 2.7% in 2010 and 3.2% in 2011.†“China’s economy will grow by 9% in 2010 and 2011.†In addition, the G20 will be on June 27. (G20) The fourth summit of the leaders was held in Toronto, Canada. The decision was made to reduce the deficit and grasp the global recovery.
Therefore, it is expected that with the joint efforts of countries and the world, the combination of government leaders and the market economy will gradually pick up the world economy in five years, and the world machine tool industry will continue to rise. If it goes well, the world's machine tool output in 2015 is likely to be close to the 2008 level of 81.34 billion US dollars.
First, the status quo of the world machine tool industry
The current status of the world machine tool industry can be explained by the following points:
(1) In 2009, the world's machine tool output value, consumption, and import and export volume dropped sharply, and the situation was severe.
The state of the world machine tool industry can be characterized by the value of machine tools and consumption in the world. Its increase and decrease often depends on the quality of the global economy and the increase or decrease of GDP.
In 2009, world GDP fell by 2.2%, and global trade volume fell by 13%, a record year. Due to the shortage of funds, the investment in fixed assets has tightened. In 2009, the world's machine tool industry's total output value, machine tool consumption, and import and export volume both fell sharply. This is the most serious year for the entire world's machine tool industry since the 21st century.
According to the total output value, consumption, and import and export volume of 28 countries (regions) produced by the Gardner Publishing Company of the United States, the growth of machine tool output in 2009 was only in China and Austria (China grew by 17.4). %, Austria increased by 2%), and the rest declined. Due to the adoption of correct and urgent measures, China has invested 4 trillion yuan in a package to increase investment in fixed assets for machine tools. Austria is a transit country for machine tools. The world's major production machine tool powers (regions), their machine tool output has dropped significantly. Germany fell by 33%, Japan by 54%, the United States by 41%, Italy by 33%, Switzerland by 47%, Taiwan by 50%, and South Korea by 39%.
In 2009, the world's machine tool consumption fell by 33%. China and Brazil have grown to zero due to measures. The rest of the countries (regions) have fallen sharply. Germany fell by 44%, the United States by 60%, Japan by 57%, Italy by 48%, South Korea by 32%, India by 41%, Switzerland by 45%, and Taiwan by 68%.
From an export perspective, worldwide machine tool exports fell by 38% in 2009, with Japan down 50%, Germany down 30%, the US down 36%, Italy down 29%, Switzerland down 45%, China down 34%, South Korea down 37%. In terms of imports, in 2009, the world's machine tool imports fell by 41%, including 24% in China, 54% in the US, 49% in Germany, 62% in Italy, 36% in Switzerland, and 40% in Japan.
(2) The world's machine tool market demand is reduced, funds are short, and the production, scientific research and innovation of machine tools are affected.
The production, innovation and technological development of machine tools, market demand is power, technology is the foundation, talent is the foundation, and capital is the means. Due to the occurrence of a serious economic crisis in the world, shortage of funds, and shrinking demand in the market, it will inevitably bring about certain "negative effects" on the production, scientific research and innovation of machine tools. This is an undeniable fact and an objective law of historical development.
According to the observation and analysis of the EMO exhibition (European International Machine Tool Exhibition), one of the world's four largest international machine tool exhibitions held in Milan, Italy from October 5 to 10, 2009, this world economic crisis, on machine tool technology, The development of innovation has a great negative impact. This is an indisputable fact. However, in order to open up the market, the company still adheres to continuous research and innovation.
The scale of the EMO exhibition in 2009, the number of business activities, the number of exhibitors, and the number of visitors have all shrunk in large numbers. The exhibits are innovative in many aspects such as processing technology, machine tool structure, control, software, wireless networking, environmental protection, tools, measurement, tool setting, lubrication system, air suction filtration technology, etc., mainly in improving the process and improving the processing of single machines. In terms of process, precision, efficiency, automation, intelligence, networking, and environmental protection, we have exhibited various robots in the last two EMO exhibitions, and further utilized robots to form processing units, to manufacture systems, factory automation, etc. Development is different. This is closely related to the current economic crisis, the shortage of funds, the careful calculation of users, and the demand for cheap and good products in the market.
Second, the future development of the world machine tool industry
(1) Development in the past five years (2010-2015)
The future development of the world machine tool industry in the next five years will depend on the recovery process of the world economic crisis.
The United Nations organization pointed out on January 20th: "The world economy is recovering moderately in 2010. World GDP fell by 2.2% in 2009 and is expected to increase by 2.4% in 2010. But if governments stop prematurely spending, the economy may once again Fall into recession.†The World Bank predicts: “World GDP will increase by 2.7% in 2010 and 3.2% in 2011.†“China’s economy will grow by 9% in 2010 and 2011.†In addition, the G20 will be on June 27. (G20) The fourth summit of the leaders was held in Toronto, Canada. The decision was made to reduce the deficit and grasp the global recovery.
Therefore, it is expected that with the joint efforts of countries and the world, the combination of government leaders and the market economy will gradually pick up the world economy in five years, and the world machine tool industry will continue to rise. If it goes well, the world's machine tool output in 2015 is likely to be close to the 2008 level of 81.34 billion US dollars.
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